Project Onderwijs-Arbeidsmarkt (POA)In Progress
This project focuses on the match between education and occupation, the substitution processes in the labour market, and generates the mid-term forecasts for the labour market perspectives for about 100 educational programmes and occupations, 35 labour market regions and 21 industry sectors in the Netherlands.
Using a variety of data and own econometric models we forecast labour demand (i.e., expansion, replacement and substitution demand) and supply (i.e., influx of graduates in into the labour market) ROA computes early warning indicators for imbalances on the labour market. Our labour market forecasts are updated every other year.
These early warning indicators are useful to the youth when considering their educational and occupational choice, to the unemployed and unemployed placement office when considering retraining or career changes, to employers in their hiring policy and to policy makers who are concerned about the optimality of the match between educational demand and supply on the labour market.
As part of this project, we produce an online statistical database containing our labour market forecasts and actual labour market information, the ‘Arbeidsmarktinformatiesysteem (AIS)’. The list of available indicators can be found in Appendix C of our latest report. Information requests for data from AIS should be addressed to S. Dijksman.
This PDF (in Dutch) explains how you should interpret our forecasts as a user. Our forecasts and actual labour market information are widely used in research and policy.
There is growing evidence that increasing the [transparency of labour market improves educational choices].
Funded by: Nationaal Regieorgaan Onderwijsonderzoek (NRO; file number 405-17-900), the UWV Werkbrijf, the Cooperation Organisation for Vocational Education, Training and the Labour Market (SBB), and employment agency Randstad Netherlands. Four Dutch ministries contribute to the NRO funding: the Ministry of Education, Culture and Science (OCW), the Ministry of Interior and Kingdom Relations (BZK), the Ministry of Social Affairs and Employment (SZW), and the Ministry of Agriculture, Nature and Food Quality (LNV).
Latest publication: Bakens, J., Dijksman, S., Fouarge, D., van Guilik, N., Höfelmann, L., Meijer, R., & Pestel, N. (2025). De arbeidsmarkt naar opleiding en beroep tot 2030. ROA. ROA Reports No. 008 https://doi.org/10.26481/umarep.2025008
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Recent reports and methods
- Bakens, J., Dijksman, S., Fouarge, D., van Guilik, N., Höfelmann, L., Meijer, R., & Pestel, N. (2025). De arbeidsmarkt naar opleiding en beroep tot 2030. ROA. ROA Reports No. 008 https://doi.org/10.26481/umarep.2025008
- Bakens, J., Retz, M., & van Guilik, N. (2025). Arbeidsmarktprognoses tot 2030. ROA. ROA Fact Sheets No. 006 https://doi.org/10.26481/umarof.2025006
- Meijer, R., Dijksman, S., & Bakens, J. (2025). Methodiek arbeidsmarktprognoses en -indicatoren 2025-2030. ROA. ROA Technical Reports No. 004 https://doi.org/10.26481/umarot.2025004
- Cobben, L., Eijkenboom, D., & Bakens, J. (2025). Transferwaarde groene opleidingen. ROA. ROA Reports No. 003 https://doi.org/10.26481/umarep.2025003
- Bakens, J., & Eijkenboom, D. (2025). Arbeidsmarktmonitor voor de groene sector 2024. ROA. ROA Reports No. 003 https://doi.org/10.26481/umarep.2024003
- Cobben, L., & Huijgen, T. (2024). Schoolverlaters tussen onderwijs en arbeidsmarkt 2023. (pp. 1-12). ROA. ROA Fact Sheets No. 010 https://doi.org/10.26481/umarof.2024010
- Cobben, L., & Huijgen, T. (2024). Uitval zonder diploma: Aanleiding, Kansen en Toekomstintenties 2023. ROA. ROA Fact Sheets No. 011 https://doi.org/10.26481/umarof.2024011
- Abbink, H., Bakens, J., & Meijer, R. (2024). Blijfkansen van afgestudeerde internationale studenten uit het Nederlandse hoger onderwijs en hun impact op arbeidsmarktramingen. (pp. i-47). ROA. ROA Reports No. 002 https://doi.org/10.26481/umarep.2024002
- Bakens, J., Cobben, L., Abbink, H., Meijer, R., Dijksman, S., Fouarge, D., & Pestel, N. (2024). Update arbeidsmarktprognoses tot 2028. ROA. ROA Fact Sheets No. 008 https://doi.org/10.26481/umarof.2024008
- Bakens, J., Cobben, L., Abbink, H., Meijer, R., Dijksman, S., Fouarge, D., & Pestel, N. (2023). De arbeidsmarkt naar opleiding en beroep tot 2028. ROA. ROA Reports No. 003 https://doi.org/10.26481/umarep.2023003
- Bakens, J., Cobben, L., Abbink, H., Meijer, R., Dijksman, S., Fouarge, D., & Pestel, N. (2024). Update arbeidsmarktprognoses tot 2028. ROA. ROA Fact Sheets No. 008 https://doi.org/10.26481/umarof.2024008
- Bakens, J., Cobben, L., Abbink, H., Meijer, R., Dijksman, S., Fouarge, D., & Pestel, N. (2023). Arbeidsmarktprognoses tot 2028. ROA. ROA Fact Sheets No. 005 https://doi.org/10.26481/umarof.2023005
- Bakens, J., Cobben, L., Abbink, H., Meijer, R., Dijksman, S., Fouarge, D., & Pestel, N. (2023). Labour market forecasts up to 2028. ROA. ROA Fact Sheets No. 005E https://doi.org/10.26481/umarof.2023005E
- Bakens, J., Dijksman, S., & Meijer, R. (2024). Methodiek arbeidsmarktprognoses en -indicatoren 2023-2028. ROA. ROA Technical Reports No. 005 https://doi.org/10.26481/umarot.2024005
- Inzicht in arbeidsmarktknelpunten voor de uitvoering van het klimaatbeleid: Opzet en uitkomsten van het PBL-ROA-model
- Bakens, J., & Fouarge, D. (2022). Huidige vacatures zijn slechte raadgever voor studiekeuze. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 107(4809), 211-213.
- Bakens, J., Fouarge, D., & Goedhart, R. (2020). Beroepen met complexe vaardigheden minst geraakt door de coronacrisis. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 105(4789), 410-413.
- Dijksman, S., Fouarge, D., Montizaan, R., & Steens, S. (2021). Rendement van bachelor en master diploma’s. ROA. ROA Reports No. 004 https://doi.org/10.26481/umarep.2021004
On the use of labour market information in education choices
- Cobben, L., & Huijgen, T. (2024). Schoolverlaters tussen onderwijs en arbeidsmarkt 2023. (pp. 1-12). ROA. ROA Fact Sheets No. 010 https://doi.org/10.26481/umarof.2024010
- Cobben, L., & Huijgen, T. (2024). Uitval zonder diploma: Aanleiding, Kansen en Toekomstintenties 2023. ROA. ROA Fact Sheets No. 011 https://doi.org/10.26481/umarof.2024011
- Fouarge, D., Künn, A., & Punt, D. (2017). De rol van arbeidsmarktinformatie in de opleidingskeuze van mbo'ers. ROA. ROA Reports No. 009 https://doi.org/10.26481/umarep.2017009
- Fouarge, D., Künn, A., & Mommers, A. (2016). Studiekeuze en arbeidsmarkt: literatuurstudie. ROA. ROA Reports No. 003 https://doi.org/10.26481/umarep.2016003
Recent evaluation studies
- Bakens, J., Fouarge, D., & de Lombaerde, G. (2021). Evaluatie van arbeidsmarktprognoses naar beroep. ROA. ROA Technical Reports No. 002 https://doi.org/10.26481/umarot.2021002
- Verkade, E., & Bakens, J. (2020). Commuter flow predictions in POA: Evaluation study. ROA. ROA Technical Reports No. 005 https://doi.org/10.26481/umarot.2020005
- Sijmons, D., & Bakens, J. (2020). Regional labour market structures. ROA. ROA Technical Reports No. 004 https://doi.org/10.26481/umarot.2020004
- Bakens, J., Fouarge, D., & Goedhart, R. (2020). Labour market forecasts by education and occupation up to 2024. ROA. ROA Technical Reports No. 002 https://doi.org/10.26481/umarot.2020002
- Fouarge, D. (2015). Project Onderwijs-Arbeidsmarkt: Gebruik van arbeidsmarktinformatie en impact. ROA. ROA Technical Reports No. 004 https://doi.org/10.26481/umarot.2015004
- Fouarge, D., & Özer, M. N. (2014). International mobility of students - Its impact on labour market forecasts and its contribution to the Dutch economy. ROA. ROA Technical Reports No. 006 https://doi.org/10.26481/umarot.2014006
Classifications
- Fouarge, D., & Dijksman, S. (2015). Beroepenindeling ROA-CBS 2014 (BRC 2014). ROA. ROA Technical Reports No. 005 https://doi.org/10.26481/umarot.2015005
- Bakens, J., Dijksman, S., & Fouarge, D. (2019). Opleidingsclassificatie naar Niveau en Richting 2019: Achtergronddocumentatie. ROA. ROA Technical Reports No. 001 https://doi.org/10.26481/umarot.2019001
- Bijlsma, I., Dijksman, S., Fouarge, D., Gerards, R., & Steens, S. (2021). Methodiek ROA/Groenpact-classificatie van de groene sector. ROA. ROA Technical Reports No. 001 https://doi.org/10.26481/umarot.2021001
Links naar nuttige arbeidsmarktinformatie
Previous reports
Previous evaluations and technical reports
Animation on labour market information and study choice